Aviliol
0x9941f4d1e6f76253189e00338d00681020f4e21e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $70.4k
- Markets traded
- 382
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded382
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.46at 0.453U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$102.58at 0.247Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$91.71at 0.393Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya
- +$87.67at 0.300Samsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
- +$75.57at 0.757Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:28 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 06:40 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7745382779 | $750.81 |
| 08-03 06:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.2379672 | $29.75 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 20:42 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.024 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 20:39 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | SELL | 0.0316666667 | $11.88 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 20:09 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | SELL | 0.19 | $27.94 |
| 08-02 19:57 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2099999978 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 19:45 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.169999995 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 19:35 | The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanova | BUY | 0.1219999802 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.041 | $5.27 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.0389221483 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999989 | $200.00 |