PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Aviliol

0x9941f4d1e6f76253189e00338d00681020f4e21e

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$70.4k
Markets traded
382
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded382
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.7740.845$819.11+$68.30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.415$197.62$2.38
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.1540.112$84.57$32.43
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2100.190$54.29$5.71
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0360.035$0.97$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$3.00
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · ThunderTalk Gaming0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$15.00
Solana Up or Down - July 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$5.00
Solana Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.3720.000$0.00$4.00
Solana Up or Down - July 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:28Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
08-03 06:40Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.7745382779$750.81
08-03 06:39Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?SELL0.2379672$29.75
08-03 06:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4$50.00
08-02 20:42Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosSELL0.024$1.60
08-02 20:39Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.0299999857$2.00
08-02 20:35Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsSELL0.0316666667$11.88
08-02 20:21Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsBUY0.08$30.00
08-02 20:09Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaSELL0.19$27.94
08-02 19:57Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2099999978$60.00
08-02 19:45Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaBUY0.169999995$25.00
08-02 19:35The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja VidmanovaBUY0.1219999802$5.00
08-02 19:33Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsSELL0.041$5.27
08-02 19:30Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.0389221483$5.00
08-02 18:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199999989$200.00