Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.149 over the period, from 0.175. Range 0.025 to 0.185. 22 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	11	11
0.041	2	13
0.249	135	148
0.250	20	168
0.253	20	188
0.266	25	213
0.267	20	233
0.269	50	283
0.270	213	496
0.339	100	596
0.340	666	1,262
0.514	400	1,662

Spread0.028Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	200	200
0.010	200	400
0.003	85	485
0.002	314	799
0.001	204	1,003

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	200	200
0.990	200	400
0.997	85	485
0.998	314	799
0.999	204	1,003

Spread0.028Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	11	11
0.959	2	13
0.751	135	148
0.750	20	168
0.747	20	188
0.734	25	213
0.733	20	233
0.731	50	283
0.730	213	496
0.661	100	596
0.660	666	1,262
0.486	400	1,662

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	55
Scaface171	Yes	49.88
bjprolo	Yes	9.64
somecode33	Yes	1.63
Chims	No	100.08
0xa5ef…2966	No	8.32
0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395	No	4.8
0xfa7f…49d6	No	2.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:53:53	BUY	No	0.99	1	$1.29
03:53:53	BUY	Yes	0.040096231	50	$2.00
03:49:54	BUY	No	0.99	8	$8.25
01:18:15	BUY	No	0.9699999877	2	$1.58
01:18:14	BUY	No	0.96	55	$52.80