0xfa7fe322f5e6d272b6b085ad43903f3a776449d6
0xfa7fe322f5e6d272b6b085ad43903f3a776449d6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.11
- Volume
- $67.23
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $48.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · No | 0.850 | 0.865 | $22.29 | +$0.39 |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.792 | 0.765 | $15.68 | −$0.55 |
| Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.979 | 0.974 | $2.85 | −$0.02 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.950 | $1.38 | −$0.01 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.395 | $1.35 | +$0.05 |
| Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week? · No | 0.997 | 0.986 | $1.26 | −$0.01 |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.865 | $1.20 | +$0.01 |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.880 | 0.930 | $1.14 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 4? · No | 0.980 | 0.988 | $1.05 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.01at 1.005Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 2, 2026?
- +$-0.11at 0.855Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 06:47 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.8199999425 | $1.14 |
| 10-03 03:53 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.29 |
| 10-03 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.04 |
| 10-03 01:53 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999591 | $1.30 |
| 10-03 01:40 | Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.39 |
| 10-03 01:39 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999566 | $1.19 |
| 10-03 01:31 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.7899999775 | $6.31 |
| 10-03 01:30 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.7899999847 | $8.78 |
| 10-03 01:27 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.8499998998 | $5.09 |
| 10-03 01:26 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.8499999909 | $13.98 |
| 10-03 01:24 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.8499999399 | $2.83 |
| 10-03 01:18 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9699999877 | $1.58 |
| 10-02 15:41 | Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.10 |
| 10-02 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.98 |
| 10-02 12:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8399999551 | $2.99 |