PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-21
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.107 over the period, from 0.120. Range 0.002 to 0.494. 61 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0242020
0.02580100
0.03240140
0.03320160
0.06145205
0.06220225
0.06320245
0.16950295
0.17020315
0.17220335
0.25333368
0.37020388

Spread0.023Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0014040

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9994040

Spread0.023Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9762020
0.97580100
0.96840140
0.96720160
0.93945205
0.93820225
0.93720245
0.83150295
0.83020315
0.82820335
0.74733368
0.63020388

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes80
PandarinosYes62.47
.MentheYes50
helicobiteYes20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes11.52
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No213.51
0x3ff7…2fa2No28
iliabouchouevNo7.47

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:29:42SELLYes0.00180$0.08
13:28:06BUYNo0.9997$7.46
11:25:30BUYNo0.99925$24.98
10:11:03BUYNo0.99918$17.98
09:59:23BUYNo0.99918$17.98
09:47:47BUYNo0.99918$17.98
09:31:39BUYNo0.99920$19.98
09:19:41BUYNo0.99918$17.98
08:24:46BUYYes0.00260$0.12
08:09:37BUYYes0.00220$0.04
04:31:45BUYNo0.9916$16.08
04:26:48BUYNo0.888$6.62
04:26:48BUYNo0.995$5.23
04:26:48BUYNo0.879999993612$10.98