PolyBot

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Traders

Asjdusis

0xfe5a2f7f876fdab4abdc7f0e21f3e94aaaf30c7c

Realised P&L
$-41.25
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$205.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7800.997$58.77+$12.77
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yes0.8130.758$46.64−$3.36
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5700.565$21.81−$0.19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3070.384$18.74+$3.74
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3560.219$14.15−$8.85
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2290.153$13.41−$6.59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6100.435$10.70−$4.30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.225$10.23−$14.77
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? · Yes0.3600.295$8.19−$1.81
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2610.153$2.94−$2.06
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$4.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$29.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$5.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.4100.000$0.00−$11.83
Pedro Neto: 1+ goals · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 20:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.8125725851$50.00
09-24 19:28Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5699999922$22.00
09-24 19:27Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
08-02 23:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.6799999971$37.00
08-02 23:46Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.2$9.09
08-02 23:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$27.74
07-22 18:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7799999922$46.00
07-22 18:21Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3069999912$15.00
07-22 18:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6099999915$15.00
07-22 18:19US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999986$15.00
07-20 10:57Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2609999631$5.00
07-20 10:56Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4399999921$20.00
07-20 10:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.6099999996$29.00
07-20 10:51Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3559999932$23.00
07-11 09:43Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2449999629$4.00