Asjdusis
0xfe5a2f7f876fdab4abdc7f0e21f3e94aaaf30c7c
- Realised P&L
- $-41.25
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $205.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.66at 0.570US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$62.99at 0.740Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$25.46at 0.286Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$18.09at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$17.75at 0.360Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.8125725851 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 19:28 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999922 | $22.00 |
| 09-24 19:27 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 23:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6799999971 | $37.00 |
| 08-02 23:46 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.09 |
| 08-02 23:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.74 |
| 07-22 18:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999922 | $46.00 |
| 07-22 18:21 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3069999912 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 18:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999915 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 18:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999986 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 10:57 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2609999631 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 10:56 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 10:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $29.00 |
| 07-20 10:51 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3559999932 | $23.00 |
| 07-11 09:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2449999629 | $4.00 |