PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

aichuangfu

0xfdf5536604ed15ccc965cb37b40ab5cb6aafd359

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$152.1k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$61.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2700.635$47.04+$27.04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.0300.026$8.67−$1.33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0190.021$5.39+$0.39
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$2.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00−$30.00
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5 · Over0.2940.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.5010.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5) · Chicago Sky0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5) · Dallas Wings0.2890.000$0.00−$30.00
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5 · Under0.4380.000$0.00−$50.00
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5) · Los Angeles Sparks0.1650.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$2.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$8.20
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5 · Under0.5600.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 09:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.0299733237$10.00
09-08 09:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$10.93
09-05 10:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.7397908857$100.00
09-05 10:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.8599999986$25.00
09-05 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.7199999965$25.00
09-05 10:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.8699999999$100.00
09-05 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.6899999917$5.00
09-05 09:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-05 09:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSELL0.99$36.86
09-05 09:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.6713529702$25.00
09-05 09:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.0899999845$5.00
09-04 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.2799999731$5.00
09-04 15:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
09-04 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
09-04 09:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0189999963$5.00