PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ololoshka.d

0xfdea0652bcaa7f57f33bd7e2ed3e3be239e01c07

Realised P&L
$-62.45
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$538.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · No0.2400.530$220.83+$120.83
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.4670.545$116.62+$16.62
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2200.189$85.91$14.09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.2500.105$42.00$58.00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$21.25$8.75
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1950.075$19.20$30.80
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.1400.179$12.82+$2.82
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes0.0870.070$8.00$2.00
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2000.125$6.25$3.75
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0680.037$5.51$4.49
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00$100.00
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$21.22
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$5.00
Sam Altman in jail by June 30? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$10.00
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 18:26Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0729812769$21.22
06-10 18:23Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?BUY0.0933163124$100.00
06-10 18:13Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0190664379$5.00
06-10 18:03Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$30.00
06-10 17:58Anthropic acquired before 2027?BUY0.0680384452$10.00
06-10 17:53US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1953350093$50.00
06-10 17:50Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2$10.00
06-10 17:49Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-10 17:30GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
06-06 17:20Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2476382582$35.21
06-06 17:18Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?BUY0.0875205357$10.00
06-06 17:17Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.467318241$100.00
06-06 17:17Sam Altman in jail by June 30?BUY0.0162109785$10.00
06-06 17:15Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
06-06 17:14GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.25$100.00