PolyBot

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Traders

0xfd747fd689085c9301a567d59e8fa5005bae0688

Realised P&L
$19.21
Volume
$413.05
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$77.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9280.944$45.63+$0.72
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · Yes0.7000.815$11.64+$1.64
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.950$5.11+$0.11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.9951.000$4.99+$0.02
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$4.97$0.03
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3700.375$4.89+$0.07
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · No0.0860.013$0.73$4.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 20:10Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3699999524$4.82
07-21 14:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$4.97
07-10 23:20Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0859999844$4.80
06-02 14:42Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9269999972$4.99
06-02 14:07Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-02 12:49Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-02 12:33Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-01 17:48Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-01 17:48Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-01 17:48Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-01 17:48Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9289999974$4.99
06-01 17:48Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9269999335$4.99
05-10 10:56Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?BUY0.998$4.99
05-10 10:56Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?BUY0.997$4.99
05-10 10:56Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?BUY0.997$4.99