PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xfd747fd689085c9301a567d59e8fa5005bae0688

Realised P&L
$3.84
Volume
$644.09
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$76.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9280.963$46.55+$1.64
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · Yes0.7000.965$13.78+$3.78
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1440.160$5.31+$0.50
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.967$5.14+$0.14
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.925$4.97$0.03
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · No0.8300.859$1.08+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 19:24Jahmai Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.17$3.92
09-17 18:41Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.22$1.43
09-17 14:10Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.468$4.80
09-16 22:36Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.17$1.03
09-16 21:25San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5BUY0.47$4.89
09-16 20:55Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.16$3.56
09-16 20:41Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.16$1.41
09-15 21:45Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5BUY0.5$2.50
09-15 20:58Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5BUY0.46$4.89
09-15 20:47New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5BUY0.51$4.93
09-15 20:41Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5BUY0.49$4.90
09-15 20:06San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.63$4.92
09-14 21:12New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5BUY0.49$4.90
09-14 19:46San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5BUY0.46$4.89
09-14 19:23Baltimore Orioles vs. New York MetsBUY0.58$4.91