0xfD6eDCfCEa814BaB018632345eEa63b688dc456D-1765095902235
0xfd6edcfcea814bab018632345eea63b688dc456d
- Realised P&L
- $16.28
- Volume
- $517.51
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $46.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.55at 0.608Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$7.08at 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$5.00at 0.375Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$3.83at 0.207Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.51at 0.740Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:54 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:49 | Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:45 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:45 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:42 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 15:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:38 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 11:07 | Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 11:07 | Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 11:06 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 11:06 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 11:05 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 10:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 10:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5304127785 | $8.00 |
| 04-17 15:50 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |