PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfD6eDCfCEa814BaB018632345eEa63b688dc456D-1765095902235

0xfd6edcfcea814bab018632345eea63b688dc456d

Realised P&L
$16.28
Volume
$517.51
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$46.90

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8170.935$12.59+$1.59
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.9100.905$9.95−$0.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1300.885$6.81+$5.81
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6720.972$4.34+$1.34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.3000.815$2.72+$1.72
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.755$2.13+$0.13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2790.155$1.67−$1.33
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7800.968$1.24+$0.24
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.7900.930$1.18+$0.18
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.940$1.09+$0.09
Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No0.8300.870$1.05+$0.05
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7800.795$1.02+$0.02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1820.122$0.67−$0.33
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.4200.038$0.45−$4.55
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 15:54Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-11 15:49Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-11 15:45Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
10-11 15:45Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-11 15:42Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
10-11 15:41Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
06-29 17:38Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4$1.00
06-21 11:07Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
06-21 11:07Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
06-21 11:06Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
06-21 11:06Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
06-21 11:05Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
06-21 10:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-21 10:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5304127785$8.00
04-17 15:50Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.005$0.03