Halo82
0xfd52ba17a5b0035b69c0e589060b425614c1f84d
- Realised P&L
- $-366.46
- Volume
- $100.5k
- Markets traded
- 392
- Open portfolio
- $21.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded392
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.17at 0.017Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$25.71at 0.280Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$23.48at 0.594Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
- +$22.20at 0.260Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$18.40at 0.620US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4969999838 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 17:44 | Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 17:43 | Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0488127242 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 17:42 | Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0026435109 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 17:42 | Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 17:41 | Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0442307686 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 17:38 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 17:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6379999942 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 07:17 | Nico Williams: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1564755597 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 07:16 | Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 07:15 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 07:14 | Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 07:14 | Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 21:43 | Désiré Doué: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 21:42 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |