Maxpnlmaker
0xfc926e7492e752a8c270a32a7da69b0ee62927c9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.5k
- Volume
- $626.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,586
- Open portfolio
- $68.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,586
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $4.5B? · No | 0.320 | 0.295 | $23.60 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.365 | $18.25 | −$1.25 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.275 | $13.75 | −$7.75 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.245 | $6.13 | −$1.88 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.131 | 0.117 | $5.85 | −$0.70 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.024 | $1.06 | −$18.74 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.005 | $0.25 | −$14.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.10at 0.011Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
- +$186.55at 0.200Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
- +$184.58at 0.056Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$145.34at 0.100Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$138.21at 0.021World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:59 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 08-05 03:50 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 08-05 03:44 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $1.11 |
| 08-05 03:32 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 08-05 02:35 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 08-05 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.63 | $10.79 |
| 08-05 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.64 | $11.44 |
| 08-05 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.19 |
| 08-05 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-05 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 08-05 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.63 | $25.21 |
| 08-05 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.64 | $10.60 |
| 08-05 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.57 |
| 08-05 01:45 | Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 08-05 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |