PolyBot

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Traders

Maxpnlmaker

0xfc926e7492e752a8c270a32a7da69b0ee62927c9

Realised P&L
$-16.5k
Volume
$797.3k
Markets traded
4,699
Open portfolio
$766.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,699
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%? · No0.8700.740$59.20$10.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 30%-35%? · No0.7770.640$54.40$11.65
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%? · No0.8830.600$54.00$25.50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.7900.635$50.80$12.40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.8400.715$46.48$8.13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8450.740$40.70$5.75
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.6100.595$34.65$0.87
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.4010.380$30.40$1.68
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.3400.325$26.00$1.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? · Yes0.4900.315$25.20$14.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 40%-45%? · No0.7900.735$24.23$1.81
Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7200.505$23.95$10.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? · Yes0.4800.335$23.75$10.28
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000? · Yes0.3600.290$23.18$5.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%? · Yes0.4120.282$22.56$10.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:46Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?SELL0.23$18.40
09-20 10:15Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?SELL0.33$3.00
09-20 09:56Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.7$3.50
09-20 09:55Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.7$14.02
09-20 09:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.71$15.62
09-20 09:37Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.186$6.12
09-20 08:45Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.23$2.97
09-20 08:35Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.65$9.75
09-20 08:31Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.65$19.50
09-20 08:26Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.65$19.50
09-20 08:16Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.68$3.40
09-20 08:15Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.24$8.90
09-20 07:32Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?SELL0.18$9.58
09-20 07:30Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?SELL0.12$9.60
09-20 07:16Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?SELL0.18$1.59