vikpat
0xfc78f14952759ada5c721bc4ac6b2f7d58cefb5d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $386.96
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $102.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.705 | $40.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.283 | 0.255 | $26.99 | −$3.01 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No | 0.781 | 0.755 | $9.66 | −$0.34 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.355 | $8.88 | −$1.13 |
| Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.086 | $6.44 | −$0.56 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.710 | 0.755 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No | 0.320 | 0.305 | $4.77 | −$0.23 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:06 | Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.0929791263 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 20:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 20:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999895 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 20:08 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:03 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:00 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:58 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999895 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 19:58 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7815967725 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 08:56 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.2834645651 | $30.00 |