PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Oslnl

0xfbd2a02c1fb3ea1bc0ac1c1376ff82ed1a8361f1

Realised P&L
$351.79
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
692
Open portfolio
$188.96

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded692
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0600.295$21.04+$16.76
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3460.525$20.41+$6.96
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.5310.785$17.55+$5.68
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.5200.955$13.66+$6.22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7610.834$11.20+$0.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7510.835$9.82+$0.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8860.945$8.15+$0.51
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5950.885$7.90+$2.59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7350.855$7.07+$0.99
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9460.955$6.94+$0.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6010.855$5.15+$1.53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4690.825$4.73+$2.04
Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris · Billy Harris0.3700.500$4.36+$1.13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.7740.986$3.96+$0.85
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1410.105$3.90$1.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 01:30Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)BUY0.5099999895$4.86
08-12 20:30Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?SELL0.79$2.84
08-12 20:28Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.8$2.87
08-12 20:25Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.8$6.56
08-12 20:17Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5699998858$4.64
08-12 20:17Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5699998858$4.64
08-12 20:16Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?SELL0.54$4.40
08-12 20:15Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5599999558$4.56
08-12 20:10Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5399997286$1.87
08-12 20:09Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5399998565$1.43
08-12 20:09Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5399999534$4.40
08-12 19:47Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5199999922$2.65
08-12 19:47Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5099999294$1.30
08-12 19:35Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.1899998593$1.04
08-12 19:26Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.8199999523$1.72