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Traders

SquirrelTheMerchant

0xfb593511b24df1edff63c35de81c72d5733683f9

Realised P&L
$82.5k
Volume
$2.02M
Markets traded
264
Open portfolio
$117.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded264
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.803$32.1k+$12.1k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8380.825$11.3k−$174.41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8380.873$9.4k+$373.46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.197$7.9k−$12.1k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8570.870$6.8k+$100.04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9190.935$6.7k+$118.04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8270.810$5.7k−$119.99
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6530.785$5.3k+$884.98
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.935$4.7k+$325.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5030.519$4.5k+$142.36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6860.675$4.4k−$72.39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6510.685$3.8k+$189.19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3190.345$3.2k+$246.85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7920.855$3.2k+$235.97
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.4040.435$1.9k+$136.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:40Will there be no Hormuz agreement?SELL0.8302095929$2.6k
10-11 23:40Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.9$2.7k
10-11 17:10Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.8874075767$1.2k
10-11 17:07Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.91$487.49
10-11 12:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.41$82.00
10-11 12:23US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.4$66.65
10-11 04:50Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.6731315649$3.2k
10-11 04:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.34$61.20
10-11 04:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.42$20.16
10-10 18:51Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.69$722.23
10-10 18:41Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.69$853.02
10-10 16:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.78$1.6k
10-10 04:21Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.518$3.2k
10-09 22:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.33$829.98
10-09 18:42US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.89$558.28