hellomarket
0xfb548dec862fa6c13f5722fdcd3d38bb1bd72c07
- Realised P&L
- $-639.71
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 312
- Open portfolio
- $10.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded312
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.41at 0.372Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025
- +$144.16at 0.443Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?
- +$138.30at 0.241Aspinall vs. Gane
- +$112.77at 0.470UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
- +$63.22at 0.344Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:27 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.2999999997 | $108.53 |
| 09-12 14:26 | Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.10 |
| 09-12 14:26 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.61 |
| 09-12 14:26 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.53 |
| 09-12 14:26 | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | SELL | 0.81 | $6.04 |
| 09-12 14:26 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.853 | $6.47 |
| 09-12 14:26 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $89.87 |
| 09-01 01:21 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 20:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0167657875 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 20:02 | WHOOP IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $6.48 |
| 08-20 16:12 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.036146154 | $1.27 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4499999838 | $13.91 |
| 08-05 18:40 | RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:40 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:36 | RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |