PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hellomarket

0xfb548dec862fa6c13f5722fdcd3d38bb1bd72c07

Realised P&L
$-639.71
Volume
$26.2k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$10.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.6990.465$4.66$2.34
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes0.5280.515$1.95$0.05
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.4200.265$1.39$0.81
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2500.205$0.82$0.18
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6830.431$0.63$0.37
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0140.009$0.61$0.39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.1390.025$0.54$2.46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.1000.002$0.04$1.96
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$6.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$80.97
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-2.5) · Paris Saint-Germain0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain O/U 2.5 · Over0.3040.000$0.00$8.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.2120.000$0.00$10.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:27Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)BUY0.2999999997$108.53
09-12 14:26Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?SELL0.87$1.10
09-12 14:26OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.91$5.61
09-12 14:26Tom Holland as Spider-Man?SELL0.51$4.53
09-12 14:26No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027SELL0.81$6.04
09-12 14:26Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.853$6.47
09-12 14:26Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?SELL0.9$89.87
09-01 01:21Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.08$1.00
08-26 20:52Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.0167657875$5.00
08-21 20:02WHOOP IPO before 2027?SELL0.92$6.48
08-20 16:12Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.036146154$1.27
08-05 18:41Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.4499999838$13.91
08-05 18:40RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain O/U 2.5BUY0.29999997$5.00
08-05 18:40Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-2.5)BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-05 18:36RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain O/U 2.5BUY0.3099999401$3.00