PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Predict90

0xfb129bebeda3b049b984ef1965cf69d9806cd1b3

Realised P&L
$-12.4k
Volume
$894.8k
Markets traded
2,420
Open portfolio
$12.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,420
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.004$4.38−$0.62
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.002$3.75−$1.25
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? · Yes0.0370.037$1.00+$0.00
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.002$0.30−$0.70
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17−$0.83
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17−$0.83
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.001$0.10−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.0320.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:29Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.003$1.00
10-08 16:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ETBUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-08 16:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ETSELL0.55$21.85
10-08 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ETBUY0.5035296421$20.00
10-08 16:42Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8?SELL0.92$210.27
10-08 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ETSELL0.89$25.08
10-08 16:16Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
10-08 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ETBUY0.51$5.10
10-08 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ETBUY0.5499999807$10.00
10-08 15:56Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8?BUY0.8750593547$200.00
10-08 15:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?SELL0.998$21.23
10-08 15:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?BUY0.0469999994$1.00
10-08 14:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?SELL0.877$242.67
10-08 12:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?BUY0.6899534845$100.00
10-08 11:13Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?BUY0.16$2.00