Predict90
0xfb129bebeda3b049b984ef1965cf69d9806cd1b3
- Realised P&L
- $-12.4k
- Volume
- $894.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,420
- Open portfolio
- $12.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,420
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$410.34at 0.593Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?
- +$345.49at 0.577Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$299.58at 0.343Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?
- +$296.34at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6AM ET
- +$278.19at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:29 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $21.85 |
| 10-08 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5035296421 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 16:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.92 | $210.27 |
| 10-08 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $25.08 |
| 10-08 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.8750593547 | $200.00 |
| 10-08 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.23 |
| 10-08 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0469999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.877 | $242.67 |
| 10-08 12:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6899534845 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 11:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |