Predict90
0xfb129bebeda3b049b984ef1965cf69d9806cd1b3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $828.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,140
- Open portfolio
- $53.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,140
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$441.89at 0.575Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?
- +$361.41at 0.570Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$312.92at 0.328Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?
- +$299.81at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6AM ET
- +$293.23at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:29 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 16:20 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $24.00 |
| 08-06 16:17 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:17 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0209999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 16:17 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0289999909 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 16:17 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:16 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:16 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:15 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:15 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:15 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:15 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:15 | Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:14 | Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:14 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |