0xfadb6c067341b7E2651B5919Bb17ba7ae59EE3dC-1762266086365
0xfadb6c067341b7e2651b5919bb17ba7ae59ee3dc
- Realised P&L
- $738.61
- Volume
- $295.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,454
- Open portfolio
- $227.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,454
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.05at 0.068Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$205.13at 0.047Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$203.83at 0.129Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$187.18at 0.159Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$158.36at 0.288Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 04:52 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.18 |
| 10-18 03:51 | Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Sayaka Ishii | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 10-18 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.30 |
| 10-18 00:02 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.12 |
| 10-18 00:01 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.83 |
| 10-17 23:55 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.87 |
| 10-17 23:51 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.238 | $3.83 |
| 10-17 23:50 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.259 | $5.18 |
| 10-17 10:42 | Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.959 | $8.80 |
| 10-17 03:27 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.54 |
| 10-16 12:30 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 10-16 12:26 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 10-16 07:18 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $1.02 |
| 10-16 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.102595 | $2.05 |
| 10-16 04:52 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.132 | $1.32 |