PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

waqc8763

0xfabe69f84f7bc4796d0c8b0dada37a484c5f8d20

Realised P&L
$47.25
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$76.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.635$36.29+$0.29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.5500.615$16.77+$1.77
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4900.525$11.79+$0.79
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · Bilibili Gaming Junior0.5300.475$6.27$0.73
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · CTBC Flying Oyster Academy0.1300.125$4.81$0.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.005$0.92$0.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$3.00
Paraguay to score first vs. France? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$5.00
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$3.00
Spread: Colombia (-3.5) · Colombia0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5 · Under0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.3150.000$0.00$2.00
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:36LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group BBUY0.5299999667$7.00
09-21 17:35LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group BBUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-21 17:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.5499999853$15.00
09-21 17:31Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999951$36.00
09-21 17:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999911$11.00
09-21 17:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$1.00
07-14 21:15Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?BUY0.179999928$2.00
07-14 21:15Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
07-14 21:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-14 21:10Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4289999945$12.00
07-14 21:07Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0587538128$6.00
07-14 21:06Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0845434592$12.00
07-13 21:04Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3274999022$2.00
07-13 21:03Harry Kane: 1+ goalsBUY0.3899999503$4.00
07-13 21:02Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsBUY0.25$5.00