0xiaoyaozi-
0xfa715c7bdf4beab86d8d22d76566c1488f8f8aa0
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $709.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.55at 0.429Rangers vs. Lightning
- +$431.58at 0.390MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$383.91at 0.616Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?
- +$367.33at 0.487Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$320.41at 0.299GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 06:04 | Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 06-10 06:04 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.07 |
| 06-10 06:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.10 |
| 06-03 05:16 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6147030557 | $99.78 |
| 06-02 12:37 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $127.94 |
| 06-02 12:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4806075923 | $277.64 |
| 05-24 17:19 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $101.04 |
| 05-24 16:56 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.11 |
| 05-24 16:55 | Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 05-24 16:53 | Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 05-19 19:56 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.032 | $4.58 |
| 05-19 03:19 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.2608048276 | $75.63 |
| 05-18 15:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.0619842105 | $11.78 |
| 05-18 15:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.0850224389 | $16.22 |
| 05-18 15:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.0770010526 | $14.63 |