PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xiaoyaozi-

0xfa715c7bdf4beab86d8d22d76566c1488f8f8aa0

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$100.5k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6120.980$364.61+$136.90
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6900.938$328.30+$86.80
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3950.971$118.40+$70.18
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3580.999$102.85+$66.01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3500.215$66.86−$41.98
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1280.038$8.40−$19.97
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4600.265$7.95−$5.85
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4600.265$5.57−$4.09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1440.031$5.17−$18.87
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4510.059$3.66−$24.28
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2470.013$0.81−$15.23
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$8.75
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$7.80
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4470.000$0.00−$10.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 04:53Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.69$241.50
06-10 06:04Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.15$1.95
06-10 06:04Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL0.008$0.07
06-10 06:03Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.1$0.10
06-03 05:16Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6147030557$99.78
06-02 12:37Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.61$127.94
06-02 12:36Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4806075923$277.64
05-24 17:19Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.999$101.04
05-24 16:56Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.1$10.11
05-24 16:55Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.83$83.00
05-24 16:53Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.19$19.00
05-19 19:56Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.032$4.58
05-19 03:19Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL0.2608048276$75.63
05-18 15:25Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?SELL0.0619842105$11.78
05-18 15:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.0850224389$16.22