PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xiaoyaozi-

0xfa715c7bdf4beab86d8d22d76566c1488f8f8aa0

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$100.1k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$709.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.1831.000$217.00+$177.37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3950.959$116.94+$68.72
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6120.295$109.75$117.96
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3580.925$95.33+$58.49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3500.305$94.86$13.99
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1280.070$15.47$12.90
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4600.415$12.45$1.35
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2500.315$11.03+$2.27
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4510.170$10.51$17.43
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4810.015$8.95$268.69
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4600.405$8.51$1.16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1440.038$6.42$17.62
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2470.018$1.20$14.84
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0650.005$0.66$7.14
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4470.022$0.51$9.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 06:04Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.15$1.95
06-10 06:04Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL0.008$0.07
06-10 06:03Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.1$0.10
06-03 05:16Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6147030557$99.78
06-02 12:37Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.61$127.94
06-02 12:36Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4806075923$277.64
05-24 17:19Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.999$101.04
05-24 16:56Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.1$10.11
05-24 16:55Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.83$83.00
05-24 16:53Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?SELL0.19$19.00
05-19 19:56Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.032$4.58
05-19 03:19Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL0.2608048276$75.63
05-18 15:25Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?SELL0.0619842105$11.78
05-18 15:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.0850224389$16.22
05-18 15:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.0770010526$14.63