Gasperd224
0xfa0708d3837379426d6472d119866a13f0be3a69
- Realised P&L
- $-15.52
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $6.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.306Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$0.70at 0.896Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?
- +$0.64at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$0.61at 0.920Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?
- +$0.36at 0.738Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:43 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.1769999848 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:41 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $4.86 |
| 06-26 19:18 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:18 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1969998469 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:11 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:09 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:07 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 21:15 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 21:14 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 21:12 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 21:10 | Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |