PolyBot

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Traders

Gasperd224

0xfa0708d3837379426d6472d119866a13f0be3a69

Realised P&L
$-15.52
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$6.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0370.048$1.30+$0.30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7600.925$1.22+$0.22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1970.183$0.93−$0.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? · Yes0.7200.645$0.90−$0.10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2450.203$0.83−$0.17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7500.560$0.75−$0.25
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.046$0.21−$0.79
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$4.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:00Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-13 22:43Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.1769999848$1.00
09-13 22:41Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
09-13 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.001$4.86
06-26 19:18Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.97$1.00
06-26 19:18Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1969998469$1.00
06-26 19:16Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.75$1.00
06-26 19:11Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.7599993312$1.00
06-26 19:09Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
06-26 19:07Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
06-26 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00
06-14 21:15Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.29999982$1.00
06-14 21:14Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.75$1.00
06-14 21:12Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
06-14 21:10Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?BUY0.1299998986$1.00