0xfa017f4Ce8CC89D517C3b5Caf0557C36B449800a-1782535671293
0xfa017f4ce8cc89d517c3b5caf0557c36b449800a
- Realised P&L
- $215.21
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,108
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,108
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.87at 0.760Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.50at 0.850Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.49at 0.905Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.41at 0.770Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
- +$3.35at 0.650Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 09:54 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? | BUY | 0.84 | $14.28 |
| 10-19 09:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.15 |
| 10-15 05:45 | Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-07 05:05 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-01 18:21 | Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-30 20:37 | Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 03:05 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-25 03:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-15 23:37 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-15 14:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-08 18:05 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-08 05:21 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-06 21:13 | Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? | SELL | 0.71 | $6.48 |
| 09-06 16:21 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-03 02:53 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |