cool001
0xf9e5b0ec023614964c7d54458a79d0c03298b4bd
- Realised P&L
- $-391.54
- Volume
- $91.7k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $27.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.235 | $12.37 | +$2.37 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.345 | $6.37 | −$5.63 |
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.022 | $6.08 | −$3.92 |
| Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? · No | 0.230 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$1.90 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.002 | $0.15 | −$20.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 5? · No | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.20 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.21at 0.109MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$100.50at 0.500Trump executive order curbing FEMA before February?
- +$50.00at 0.500Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?
- +$50.00at 0.500Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?
- +$39.76at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.649999981 | $12.00 |
| 08-15 14:35 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-15 03:57 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-15 03:30 | Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 03:30 | Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 08-15 02:22 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-15 01:43 | Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.56 |
| 08-15 01:32 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 08-15 00:53 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 08-14 01:08 | Will FaZe Clan Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-14 01:08 | Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 08-13 09:35 | Will Group C be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 08-13 08:59 | Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-13 06:53 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-13 06:37 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |