0xf9aeb3276124bb19a72fa29cccc4d900697ddcd2
0xf9aeb3276124bb19a72fa29cccc4d900697ddcd2
- Realised P&L
- $148.51
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $23.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.120 | 0.885 | $7.38 | +$6.38 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 France? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.053 | $4.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No | 0.240 | 0.330 | $4.13 | +$1.13 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.065 | $3.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.045 | $1.01 | −$0.02 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.060 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.047 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.115 | $0.57 | −$0.42 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $0.27 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.17at 0.042Exact Score: Elche CF 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
- +$55.57at 0.070Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Kosovo?
- +$26.47at 0.074Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
- +$6.61at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$4.01at 0.439Will Solana reach $120 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 21:15 | Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 France? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 20:49 | Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Kosovo? | BUY | 0.0669163539 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 10:58 | Exact Score: Poland 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina? | BUY | 0.0489999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 10:57 | Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Poland O/U 5.5 Corners | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 10:27 | Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Uruguay? | BUY | 0.0219999999 | $1.03 |
| 09-24 10:27 | Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Uruguay? | BUY | 0.0449999998 | $1.03 |
| 09-24 10:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:52 | Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.0459999987 | $1.03 |
| 09-21 20:49 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 20:44 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:06 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.09 |
| 09-21 07:55 | Austria vs. Israel: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:26 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 22:23 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |