73da497ba088b8
0xf96d0ed698793471339fabb89bdb896b0dc74b79
- Realised P&L
- $-152.64
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $89.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.56at 0.217Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$31.06at 0.230Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$27.50at 0.123Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$12.90at 0.186Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$12.50at 0.289Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:42 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0702168296 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 19:39 | Will Turks and Caicos Islands vs. Montserrat end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 19:36 | Will Bahamas win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 19:35 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0228027193 | $3.45 |
| 09-15 20:29 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $3.26 |
| 09-12 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 01:42 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 01:41 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0269999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 01:41 | Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |