0xf9404a753e6f8ee31ae7e96004dac96b97a55a00
0xf9404a753e6f8ee31ae7e96004dac96b97a55a00
- Realised P&L
- $1.24
- Volume
- $197.65
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $7.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.580 | $1.87 | +$0.87 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $1.70 | +$0.11 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.855 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.874 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.515 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No | 0.220 | 0.130 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.19at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.91at 0.359Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.35at 0.410Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$1.99at 0.450Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:18 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:26 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:42 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:55 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 02:52 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:09 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:06 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |