0xf92Ac09C9f7ADB0A98dADa9d72Fd50A22545708D-1773123366385
0xf92ac09c9f7adb0a98dada9d72fd50a22545708d
- Realised P&L
- $16.09
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $92.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.10at 0.300Will Lu Dort be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?
- +$16.17at 0.230Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$9.46at 0.389Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
- +$8.72at 0.630Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$8.36at 0.640Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:14 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998957 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 02:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.39 |
| 09-07 07:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:58 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999253 | $2.31 |
| 07-31 13:09 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 04:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.23 |
| 07-30 13:52 | Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5199998953 | $1.59 |
| 07-29 10:27 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 07-28 22:24 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |
| 07-27 20:48 | Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6699999973 | $4.93 |
| 07-26 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999754 | $4.88 |
| 07-25 18:08 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |