PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sapintegration

0xf8d921ad6e824ae5d386f58585b92bb4cd1608d2

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$275.4k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2590.849$671.16+$466.29
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.7230.945$617.09+$144.97
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.975$338.15+$70.96
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6000.940$192.70+$69.70
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.1200.200$117.80+$47.12
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.275$97.35$5.31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9060.038$2.65$60.60
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3200.045$0.63$3.85
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.075$0.38$1.52
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0380.044$0.12+$0.02
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$7.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:38Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?SELL0.06$15.90
04-27 08:37Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?SELL0.06$23.28
04-27 08:35Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?SELL0.06$12.30
04-27 08:25Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$88.88
04-27 07:58Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.63$537.39
04-21 10:36Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.8$331.20
04-21 10:34Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.79$14.22
04-21 03:28Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.73$69.35
04-21 03:23Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?SELL0.105$1.16
04-13 16:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$165.44
04-13 16:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$7.15
04-13 10:23Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?SELL0.82$175.48
04-13 09:47MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$80.91
04-13 09:47MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$11.16
04-13 09:41Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$311.22