PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf8855dadc0e94d49e63ce1149850b60a74dc5274

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$193.8k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$12.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 16:09China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9199999863$2.69
07-18 22:24Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9559999755$1.25
07-12 13:54Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9579999521$2.08
07-10 13:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.63$315.00
07-02 15:11Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9299999963$100.00
06-26 23:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.9508783333$570.53
06-26 17:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.9298692125$1.5k
06-24 18:43Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9299998827$4.44
06-19 23:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?BUY0.4509999877$12.26
06-19 22:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8029999998$84.33
06-19 19:57 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.2$141.79
06-19 16:54 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.6988756191$59.36
06-19 12:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.5399999979$66.62
06-19 12:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.539999999$43.58
06-19 12:19 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.54$84.38