abcyun
0xf82e4312bea924b38e222d25c7814d03cbadad17
- Realised P&L
- $-10.68
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $267.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.97at 0.330Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$39.00at 0.160Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
- +$32.00at 0.360S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
- +$31.00at 0.290Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 in October?
- +$27.60at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 03:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-08 03:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-26 03:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | SELL | 0.7633163265 | $1.50 |
| 09-26 03:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 08-09 13:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 08-06 10:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.38 |
| 08-03 09:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 08-01 10:24 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 08-01 10:23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 10:23 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 10:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 07-17 10:38 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2264965627 | $8.57 |
| 07-15 04:41 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 04:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $142.00 |