PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF825f4Cf113b22F022b03c369B8284526e6cB9FF-1768851574533

0xf825f4cf113b22f022b03c369b8284526e6cb9ff

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$233.1k
Markets traded
881
Open portfolio
$288.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded881
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No0.4050.625$100.00+$35.20
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · No0.2310.995$43.09+$33.09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8200.960$23.41+$3.41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8000.935$23.38+$3.38
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.6140.927$22.66+$7.66
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.745$21.59+$1.59
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? · No0.6160.510$16.55$3.45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5700.425$14.91$5.09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.6400.755$11.80+$1.80
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · No0.8200.905$11.04+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$3.57
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.5200.000$0.00$37.83
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$117.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$1.2k
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$29.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:50Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)SELL0.99$28.39
09-17 19:17Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.64$49.65
09-17 17:08PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5BUY0.6166915576$18.64
09-17 16:59Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4599999969$50.39
09-17 11:33Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.616250115$20.00
09-16 20:48Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?BUY0.7899999981$28.48
09-16 20:41Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.686$37.48
09-16 20:23Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.81$16.36
09-15 19:04Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.4799999961$19.67
09-15 18:37West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.64$19.00
09-15 18:37Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.6971903229$20.00
09-15 18:36Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.7099999992$36.00
09-14 16:34Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.64$20.00
09-13 13:11Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.539999997$58.00
09-12 19:01Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6$306.00