0xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-1720119167013
0xf80e74bc34e0c1be6d4352d6edebb710e6602af8
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $161.2k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $35.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.310US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
- +$851.13at 0.370Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$803.29at 0.272Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$746.43at 0.748What will be the next Fed rate change?
- +$730.49at 0.730Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 23:59 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 23:53 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $348.51 |
| 09-05 02:17 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-05 01:51 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | BUY | 0.60375 | $48.30 |
| 09-03 22:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-03 22:43 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8626600938 | $272.12 |
| 09-02 00:05 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $88.02 |
| 09-02 00:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.917 | $45.19 |
| 09-01 23:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3403700546 | $99.80 |
| 09-01 23:44 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $56.40 |
| 09-01 23:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $95.45 |
| 09-01 23:40 | Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-01 23:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.0743174165 | $17.21 |
| 08-30 16:29 | What will be the next Fed rate change? | BUY | 0.7435932403 | $1.1k |
| 08-30 16:12 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.18125 | $14.50 |