PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Frenonski

0xf784e9a7a354c644c1af25f1ee9e1b68b91fab48

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$2.04M
Markets traded
1,288
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,288
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.5960.685$230.03+$29.97
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9550.979$225.16+$5.53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9350.973$213.95+$8.19
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · No0.6200.971$207.68+$75.06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8580.868$121.53+$1.43
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9270.970$87.26+$3.78
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.095$84.61−$4.49
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9770.985$83.68+$0.61
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9250.896$62.75−$2.01
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2240.230$61.19+$1.60
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8730.870$60.88−$0.25
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.006$58.26+$26.05
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · No0.7810.893$53.58+$6.72
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0480.051$52.43+$2.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9490.954$38.16+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 20:32LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 WinnerSELL0.48$43.18
10-16 01:54Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?SELL0.004$0.02
10-15 20:51LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-InBUY0.38$3.80
10-13 13:53LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.91$9.10
10-13 09:43LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.37$3.70
10-11 00:53Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.839$419.48
10-04 05:25Will Xun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?BUY0.07$4.20
09-05 11:56LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.81$8.10
09-05 06:39LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.8$4.00
09-04 11:24LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.7$7.10
09-03 11:05LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.63$6.30
08-24 10:43Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.16$16.00
08-24 10:42Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8239131$164.78
08-23 12:49LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.57$5.70
08-19 16:43Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.6$12.00