Frenonski
0xf784e9a7a354c644c1af25f1ee9e1b68b91fab48
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $2.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,288
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,288
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.001Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
- +$3.5kat 0.001GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.003Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
- +$2.9kat 0.003Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.048Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 20:32 | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.48 | $43.18 |
| 10-16 01:54 | Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 10-15 20:51 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 10-13 13:53 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 10-13 09:43 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-11 00:53 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.839 | $419.48 |
| 10-04 05:25 | Will Xun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 09-05 11:56 | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-05 06:39 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 11:24 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $7.10 |
| 09-03 11:05 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-24 10:43 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-24 10:42 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8239131 | $164.78 |
| 08-23 12:49 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-19 16:43 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |