PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF766d7e222d4F27C3048Ace39E9f299efF80ad6d-1781361345472

0xf766d7e222d4f27c3048ace39e9f299eff80ad6d

Realised P&L
$31.90
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$116.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7600.705$46.38−$3.62
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 28? · No0.9700.965$9.95−$0.05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4300.415$9.65−$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.2300.980$8.52+$6.52
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 28? · No0.8800.695$7.90−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28? · Yes0.3201.000$6.25+$4.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29? · Yes0.2500.350$4.20+$1.20
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$3.93−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.3200.993$3.10+$2.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.2140.215$3.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on September 29? · Yes0.3300.490$2.97+$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 28? · Yes0.1300.155$2.38+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 29? · Yes0.0750.060$2.38−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29? · Yes0.1700.190$2.24+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 28? · Yes0.0200.011$1.05−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:28Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 28?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
09-27 20:28Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
09-27 20:27Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 28?BUY0.0615817715$2.00
09-27 20:23Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 29?BUY0.0599999988$2.00
09-27 20:22Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-27 20:22Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 28?BUY0.02$2.00
09-27 20:21Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 28?BUY0.1299999948$2.00
09-27 20:20Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.25$3.00
09-27 20:20Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.32$1.00
09-27 20:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 28?BUY0.1161290293$3.00
09-27 20:18Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 29?BUY0.075524474$3.00
09-27 20:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.2139999937$3.00
09-27 20:15Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-27 20:12Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-27 20:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.2599999896$2.00