nestakofi
0xf6efc51d2d9ba6954ba65dd9468576fcf91bc393
- Realised P&L
- $-157.13
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $194.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.53at 0.522Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$41.52at 0.419Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$41.00at 0.180Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$36.99at 0.520 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$36.91at 0.440Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 15:18 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 16:14 | Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 16:08 | Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 15:57 | Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 04:21 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 04:20 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4469999636 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 04:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3419999785 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 16:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999963 | $60.00 |
| 06-23 15:29 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5291533499 | $50.00 |
| 06-21 23:56 | Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 23:56 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 17:14 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 17:14 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3853994309 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 17:13 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $15.22 |
| 06-19 17:12 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $63.23 |