PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf6d4b8aF5d387f9Ad9C657aEa36227B0347A34dB-1771760265080

0xf6d4b8af5d387f9ad9c657aea36227b0347a34db

Realised P&L
$-941.25
Volume
$65.2k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.895$307.88+$91.16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6150.785$264.22+$57.22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6670.725$217.49+$17.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7540.994$119.22+$28.72
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.6260.265$85.09$116.01
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7950.891$56.04+$6.04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.5430.940$51.96+$21.96
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.6560.145$34.80$122.60
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3000.545$27.25+$12.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5100.775$15.20+$5.20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.055$5.50$24.50
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1900.115$2.30$1.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2900.006$0.26$11.34
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks0.4150.000$0.00$49.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00$11.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 03:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.98$78.40
08-18 03:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.98$39.20
08-16 09:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$45.92
08-15 07:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.972$34.64
08-15 05:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.971$17.48
08-14 11:36Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.64$96.00
08-14 11:35Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.64$96.00
08-03 05:43Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.38$7.60
08-03 04:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.76$38.00
08-01 15:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.75$112.50
07-20 03:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.89$178.00
07-20 03:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.66$132.00
07-15 05:14Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.71$67.85
07-15 05:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$232.80
07-10 04:53Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00