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Traders

0xf6d4b8af5d387f9ad9c657aea36227b0347a34db

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$835.52

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.865$297.56+$80.84
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6150.665$223.83+$16.83
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6670.385$115.50−$84.50
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7950.919$57.80+$7.80
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.5430.900$49.74+$19.74
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.6560.110$26.40−$131.00
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.6260.056$17.82−$183.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5100.845$16.57+$6.57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.155$15.50−$14.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3000.270$13.50−$1.50
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$1.30−$2.50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks0.2960.000$0.00−$35.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$11.10
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 03:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.98$78.40
08-18 03:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.98$39.20
08-16 09:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$45.92
08-15 07:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.972$34.64
08-15 05:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.971$17.48
08-14 11:36Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.64$96.00
08-14 11:35Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.64$96.00
08-03 05:43Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.38$7.60
08-03 04:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.76$38.00
08-01 15:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.75$112.50
07-20 03:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.89$178.00
07-20 03:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.66$132.00
07-15 05:14Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.71$67.85
07-15 05:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$232.80
07-10 04:53Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00
Trader 0xf6d4…34db · PolyBot Pro