0xf6d4b8aF5d387f9Ad9C657aEa36227B0347A34dB-1771760265080
0xf6d4b8af5d387f9ad9c657aea36227b0347a34db
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $64.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.99at 0.363Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$168.27at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$96.44at 0.678Nothing Ever Happens: May
- +$81.39at 0.435Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$65.85at 0.820US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:43 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-03 04:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 08-01 15:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $112.50 |
| 07-20 03:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 07-20 03:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 07-15 05:14 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $67.85 |
| 07-15 05:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $232.80 |
| 07-10 04:53 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 04:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 07-10 04:37 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 07-10 04:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.385 | $9.04 |
| 07-10 04:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $119.70 |
| 07-03 08:17 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.70 |
| 06-30 03:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $189.00 |
| 06-30 03:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $168.00 |