0xf6d4b8aF5d387f9Ad9C657aEa36227B0347A34dB-1771760265080
0xf6d4b8af5d387f9ad9c657aea36227b0347a34db
- Realised P&L
- $-941.25
- Volume
- $65.2k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.14at 0.366Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$162.63at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$132.06at 0.400Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$104.70at 0.630Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$96.44at 0.678Nothing Ever Happens: May
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 03:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $78.40 |
| 08-18 03:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 08-16 09:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $45.92 |
| 08-15 07:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $34.64 |
| 08-15 05:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.971 | $17.48 |
| 08-14 11:36 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $96.00 |
| 08-14 11:35 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $96.00 |
| 08-03 05:43 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-03 04:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 08-01 15:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $112.50 |
| 07-20 03:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 07-20 03:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 07-15 05:14 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $67.85 |
| 07-15 05:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $232.80 |
| 07-10 04:53 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |