0xnapalm
0xf6cbda3f48569107ba09fd75b0088bf7e3743f69
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $872.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,010
- Open portfolio
- $14.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,010
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.419US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$768.62at 0.716Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$630.19at 0.691Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$595.38at 0.161Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$535.52at 0.888Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:24 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9985506516 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 22:18 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.31 |
| 11-01 22:10 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 22:04 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99520509 | $110.00 |
| 11-01 21:58 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9394759884 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 21:56 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9443339951 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 21:53 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9021512826 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 21:27 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8946757842 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.52 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:55 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998838336 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $40.00 |