0x5cbfEdB672f0FB6Ae3939dD75B1316508DA40dFA-1769320534956
0xf67085afc2e99bdd8fc3b67d9312b92a05d4e778
- Realised P&L
- $24.85
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $13.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.530 | $4.42 | +$0.42 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.805 | $3.47 | +$0.67 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.385 | $3.30 | +$0.30 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No | 0.260 | 0.170 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.095 | $0.65 | −$2.35 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.054 | $0.64 | −$1.36 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.050 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.008 | $0.18 | −$4.82 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.72at 0.536Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$8.66at 0.759Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- +$7.14at 0.580Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$6.43at 0.776Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.856Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 04:40 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $27.00 |
| 10-15 04:58 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 04:58 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 04:10 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999652 | $2.80 |
| 10-12 04:45 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999986 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 02:49 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0867678959 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 16:34 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $1.50 |
| 10-07 16:34 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.961963176 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 10:27 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999748 | $1.50 |
| 10-06 04:17 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 03:56 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.60 |
| 10-02 12:02 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8745341602 | $32.00 |
| 10-01 11:35 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:07 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.23 |
| 09-28 02:17 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |