MoeZart
0xf648cf9666812d2c93c966a95c8a268b7cd88232
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $224.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $9.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.859 | 0.957 | $4.4k | +$450.20 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.945 | $1.9k | +$130.00 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.935 | $1.4k | +$232.52 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $492.54 | +$28.67 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No | 0.925 | 0.967 | $483.24 | +$20.75 |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $436.15 | +$25.66 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.006 | $58.50 | −$85.47 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $43.75 | −$81.25 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $33.00 | −$142.99 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$357.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.705US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.889Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.1kat 0.770Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$715.84at 0.812US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$689.37at 0.529Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $3.0k |
| 09-16 14:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.1k |
| 09-14 20:42 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $3.4k |
| 09-14 20:31 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $519.35 |
| 07-14 01:20 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.29 | $322.28 |
| 06-18 03:45 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 06-17 23:12 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $452.69 |
| 06-14 23:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 06-14 23:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8552816776 | $96.25 |
| 06-14 22:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.737 | $3.9k |
| 06-14 22:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.737 | $455.47 |
| 06-14 21:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 06-14 19:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.877 | $87.44 |
| 06-14 19:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.12278168 | $30.70 |
| 06-09 17:25 | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.49 |