PolyBot

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Traders

bismuth

0xf6237ff93cc8f54a04379f46355bc7d1e47ebb2c

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$309.5k
Markets traded
293
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded293
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 22:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.91$191.10
09-03 23:202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.89$89.00
09-03 23:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.988$197.60
09-01 12:41Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.982$491.00
08-23 20:45Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?BUY0.925$185.00
08-23 20:44Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.963$192.60
08-20 11:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.96$192.00
08-19 12:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.988$197.60
08-12 12:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.968$54.60
08-10 16:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.91$273.00
08-10 00:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.989$197.80
08-05 10:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.97$485.00
08-05 10:55Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.023$13.80
08-03 12:19Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.968$290.40
08-03 12:17US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.958$34.48