SilentHunter
0xf5d1d070865cfac18c29aa9fc12eda659b9767cc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $731.1k
- Markets traded
- 897
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded897
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$2.4kat 0.821Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.0kat 0.500Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$1.4kat 0.500US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.507Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 15:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.16 |
| 09-06 15:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.63 | $430.42 |
| 09-04 08:52 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.48 |
| 08-21 08:09 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.201 | $16.35 |
| 08-18 04:13 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.13 |
| 08-17 22:37 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.92 |
| 08-15 19:15 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $111.18 |
| 08-13 12:10 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.094 | $9.40 |
| 08-12 08:15 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-12 07:20 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 08-12 06:59 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%? | BUY | 0.95 | $361.95 |
| 08-10 08:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.82 | $20.50 |
| 08-08 13:57 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.151 | $151.00 |
| 08-08 01:38 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $316.85 |
| 08-07 13:00 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.432 | $254.02 |