AdrianADA
0xf58493a5974ec2cb17b633395134366c8af3e58f
- Realised P&L
- $-370.09
- Volume
- $89.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $308.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.08at 0.317Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$230.04at 0.147Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$171.24at 0.086Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$138.48at 0.144Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.35at 0.348Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:58 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0087183958 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:21 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0063887303 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 19:13 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0120649227 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 12:10 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0578976298 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 19:40 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1351485583 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 19:39 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0476644423 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 19:30 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0100602012 | $4.00 |
| 07-17 19:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.589 | $188.50 |
| 07-09 19:55 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.325 | $13.00 |
| 07-09 19:54 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 19:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1909999939 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 19:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.196999992 | $15.00 |
| 07-09 19:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3249999919 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 19:49 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $20.00 |