PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AdrianADA

0xf58493a5974ec2cb17b633395134366c8af3e58f

Realised P&L
$-370.09
Volume
$89.7k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$308.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0110.103$155.10+$138.10
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0510.387$114.47+$99.47
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1350.179$26.56+$6.56
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0070.009$10.20+$1.20
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0090.002$1.84$8.85
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.005$0.55$3.45
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on May 30? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$13.50
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$2.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$15.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00$83.00
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.00
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · No0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:58Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0087183958$5.00
09-17 19:21Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0063887303$4.00
09-17 19:13Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0120649227$10.00
07-20 12:18Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.04$4.00
07-19 12:10Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0578976298$5.00
07-17 19:40Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1351485583$20.00
07-17 19:39Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0476644423$10.00
07-17 19:30Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0100602012$4.00
07-17 19:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.589$188.50
07-09 19:55Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.325$13.00
07-09 19:54Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.032$10.00
07-09 19:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1909999939$20.00
07-09 19:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.196999992$15.00
07-09 19:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3249999919$20.00
07-09 19:49Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.032$20.00