Sukbae Lee
0xf5846fe86b2107f58b01c3446cbc3cbe8e9a0d1b
- Realised P&L
- $10.3k
- Volume
- $105.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.956 | $2.8k | +$163.40 |
| LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.27 |
| Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.96 |
| LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.40 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$380.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$405.20 |
| LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.40 |
| Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.56 |
| LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.697Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
- +$1.7kat 0.580LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$617.21at 0.319Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$398.74at 0.801LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$-1.0kat 0.810LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:35 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $550.09 |
| 09-17 06:37 | LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.0361858214 | $23.40 |
| 09-17 06:36 | LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.0512622952 | $108.40 |
| 09-17 06:36 | LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.042408827 | $105.27 |
| 09-17 06:36 | LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.0464391641 | $40.71 |
| 09-16 10:18 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.31 | $280.78 |
| 09-16 10:14 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.37 | $204.96 |
| 09-16 10:14 | Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.46 | $183.56 |
| 09-16 10:13 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.48 | $400.60 |
| 09-16 10:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.82 |
| 09-09 14:43 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $793.59 |
| 09-09 14:42 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.9k |
| 09-09 14:39 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.788975 | $1.6k |
| 09-09 14:37 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $875.32 |
| 09-09 14:36 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $364.78 |