PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sukbae Lee

0xf5846fe86b2107f58b01c3446cbc3cbe8e9a0d1b

Realised P&L
$10.3k
Volume
$105.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.956$2.8k+$163.40
LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$105.27
Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$204.96
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$108.40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$380.00
Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$405.20
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$23.40
Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$183.56
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$40.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 13:35Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$550.09
09-17 06:37LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.0361858214$23.40
09-17 06:36LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.0512622952$108.40
09-17 06:36LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.042408827$105.27
09-17 06:36LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.0464391641$40.71
09-16 10:18Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.31$280.78
09-16 10:14Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference?BUY0.37$204.96
09-16 10:14Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?BUY0.46$183.56
09-16 10:13Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.48$400.60
09-16 10:11Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.38$1.82
09-09 14:43LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.6$793.59
09-09 14:42LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.62$1.9k
09-09 14:39LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.788975$1.6k
09-09 14:37LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.67$875.32
09-09 14:36LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.52$364.78