lvscool
0xf4d7834766c87e299b1da893e3a6da2927b68e61
- Realised P&L
- $-458.89
- Volume
- $86.0k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $29.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.55at 0.236Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$44.21at 0.537Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
- +$31.49at 0.320Jaguars vs. Bengals
- +$22.09at 0.410Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$7.97at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0147058824 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $17.50 |
| 09-15 02:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.49 |
| 09-15 02:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999986 | $9.00 |
| 08-20 19:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.029634402 | $9.95 |
| 08-20 19:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0240746454 | $9.00 |
| 08-20 19:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 21:05 | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | SELL | 0.0170560004 | $6.09 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.50 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.25 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.88 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.72 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.13 |