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Traders

0xF4D23A6ABB085D01d78A38814B87c7Cb9Ab52390-1773019126534

0xf4d23a6abb085d01d78a38814b87c7cb9ab52390

Realised P&L
$47.55
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$244.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? · No0.9460.956$95.55+$0.95
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9770.989$79.08+$0.92
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9480.961$19.21+$0.26
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No0.9440.940$18.80−$0.08
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.695$13.90−$3.50
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9931.000$9.99+$0.07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7950.792$7.92−$0.03
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July? · No0.8740.000$0.00−$8.74
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $308 Week of June 29 2026? · No0.9510.000$0.00−$4.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00−$49.50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.8420.000$0.00−$16.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8PM ET · Down0.7350.000$0.00−$7.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 00:47Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?BUY0.84$16.80
07-30 04:04Will Meta (META) close at >$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?BUY0.99$4.95
07-29 13:42Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,440 in July?BUY0.99$19.80
07-29 01:06Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,500 in July?BUY0.99$4.95
07-29 00:42Will Micron (MU) close above $1,300 end of July?BUY0.99$4.95
07-29 00:23Will Micron (MU) close above $1,340 end of July?BUY0.992$4.96
05-04 23:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.976$7.96
04-28 23:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.999$99.90
04-22 01:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9PM ETSELL0.09$0.45
04-20 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ETSELL0.34$1.70
04-19 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9AM ETSELL0.996$4.98
04-03 23:54Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?BUY0.999$99.89
03-29 01:27Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on March 28?BUY0.999$4.70
03-28 03:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C or below on March 28?SELL0.999$99.90
03-27 05:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C or below on March 28?BUY0.999$9.99
Trader 0xF4D23A6ABB085D01d78A38814B87c7Cb9Ab52390-1773019126534 · PolyBot Pro