0xF4D23A6ABB085D01d78A38814B87c7Cb9Ab52390-1773019126534
0xf4d23a6abb085d01d78a38814b87c7cb9ab52390
- Realised P&L
- $30.18
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $375.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.590Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$4.67at 0.936Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
- +$4.40at 0.956Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?
- +$3.90at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 26?
- +$3.90at 0.980Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:47 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 07-30 04:04 | Will Meta (META) close at >$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-29 13:42 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,440 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 07-29 01:06 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-29 00:42 | Will Micron (MU) close above $1,300 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-29 00:23 | Will Micron (MU) close above $1,340 end of July? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 05-04 23:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.976 | $7.96 |
| 04-28 23:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 04-22 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 04-20 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 04-19 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 04-03 23:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.89 |
| 03-29 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on March 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.70 |
| 03-28 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C or below on March 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 03-27 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C or below on March 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |