PolyBot

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Traders

Llalalatata

0xf45f1597a95ab043e4b144a80f5305df42dfd382

Realised P&L
$3.66
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$278.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? · Yes0.9741.000$40.00+$1.04
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.6920.982$20.12+$5.94
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8870.960$12.38+$0.93
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.5000.960$11.52+$5.52
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.5000.934$11.21+$5.21
Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.951$8.55$0.09
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9601.000$8.50+$0.34
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.984$8.36+$0.46
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9300.976$8.30+$0.39
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9200.973$8.27+$0.45
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9100.970$8.24+$0.51
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · No0.8500.964$8.19+$0.97
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9150.963$8.18+$0.40
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.9210.961$8.16+$0.34
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9000.956$8.12+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-13 02:00Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.01$0.12
03-06 12:00Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.991$8.42
03-06 06:42Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.935$4.68
03-06 06:08Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.9$3.60
03-06 06:07Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.947$5.68
03-06 06:06Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.9$5.40
03-06 06:04Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.92$4.60
03-06 05:29Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?SELL0.953$5.72
03-06 05:24Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.938$5.63
03-06 05:22Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.95$5.70
03-06 05:12Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.975$5.85
03-06 05:08US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL0.998$11.98
03-06 04:59Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.897$5.02
03-05 05:42Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.962$8.18
03-04 07:38Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY0.94$7.99