Llalalatata
0xf45f1597a95ab043e4b144a80f5305df42dfd382
- Realised P&L
- $3.66
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $278.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.60at 0.621Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$6.25at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
- +$6.23at 0.500Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?
- +$6.15at 0.500Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$5.89at 0.500Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 02:00 | Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.12 |
| 03-06 12:00 | Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.991 | $8.42 |
| 03-06 06:42 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.935 | $4.68 |
| 03-06 06:08 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.60 |
| 03-06 06:07 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.947 | $5.68 |
| 03-06 06:06 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 03-06 06:04 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 03-06 05:29 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? | SELL | 0.953 | $5.72 |
| 03-06 05:24 | Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.938 | $5.63 |
| 03-06 05:22 | Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.70 |
| 03-06 05:12 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.975 | $5.85 |
| 03-06 05:08 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.98 |
| 03-06 04:59 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.897 | $5.02 |
| 03-05 05:42 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.962 | $8.18 |
| 03-04 07:38 | Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.99 |