Girthquake93
0xf455a5c014100772a3db8858c596d290b7fcd0cc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.33
- Volume
- $944.02
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $25.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.67at 0.120Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
- +$13.39at 0.230US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$8.62at 0.481Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$1.77at 0.530Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$0.41at 0.690Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 21:57 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 06-14 21:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0952380952 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 21:15 | Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? | BUY | 0.2600487418 | $3.00 |
| 05-09 21:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 10:20 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0959999194 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 12:48 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 11:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.3899999503 | $3.80 |
| 03-24 11:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 14:53 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 16:40 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 02-14 15:40 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 02-14 15:39 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 02-14 15:36 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 12-12 00:08 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 12-07 20:51 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SELL | 0.973 | $1.40 |