PolyBot

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Traders

Girthquake93

0xf455a5c014100772a3db8858c596d290b7fcd0cc

Realised P&L
$-0.33
Volume
$944.02
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$25.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.2350.740$18.89+$12.89
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1600.075$2.34$2.66
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1750.040$0.90$3.10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3800.160$0.84$1.16
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1200.048$0.79$1.21
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? · Yes0.2600.045$0.52$2.48
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.2000.045$0.45$1.55
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.1500.025$0.34$1.66
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0960.028$0.29$0.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.0950.000$0.00$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00$4.68
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 21:57Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.25$4.00
06-14 21:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0952380952$2.00
05-09 21:15Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?BUY0.2600487418$3.00
05-09 21:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.179999928$2.00
05-08 10:20Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0959999194$1.00
05-05 12:48Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.16$5.00
04-06 11:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.3899999503$3.80
03-24 11:11Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
03-17 14:53US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
03-05 16:40Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.119999952$2.00
02-14 15:40Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.14999994$2.00
02-14 15:39Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
02-14 15:36US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.2299999603$4.00
12-12 00:08Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
12-07 20:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?SELL0.973$1.40