epps
0xf4165309a3b551ebb1a12edb0a0510bf62be6ec9
- Realised P&L
- $17.7k
- Volume
- $2.90M
- Markets traded
- 2,158
- Open portfolio
- $709.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,158
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$692.86at 0.961Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$682.49at 0.225Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$506.55at 0.941Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$329.92at 0.576Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
- +$324.43at 0.130Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 10:32 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $450.80 |
| 04-03 12:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.975 | $411.44 |
| 02-19 14:17 | Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9 | $66.71 |
| 01-05 03:29 | Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.92 |
| 01-04 22:54 | Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 01-04 11:12 | Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.02 |
| 01-04 10:09 | Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 01-04 09:30 | Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.88 |
| 01-04 09:20 | Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.73 |
| 01-04 09:18 | 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $10.00 |
| 01-04 09:18 | Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.1 | $15.60 |
| 01-04 09:18 | Another Elon baby by June 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.97 |
| 01-04 08:37 | Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.15 |
| 01-04 02:14 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.34 |
| 01-03 21:36 | Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.97 |