PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

epps

0xf4165309a3b551ebb1a12edb0a0510bf62be6ec9

Realised P&L
$17.7k
Volume
$2.90M
Markets traded
2,158
Open portfolio
$709.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,158
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.982$480.94+$30.14
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? · No0.7450.950$93.22+$20.12
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7170.860$32.61+$5.42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7000.913$19.71+$4.62
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? · Yes0.4850.065$12.15$78.54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7400.655$10.12$1.31
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8650.061$7.29$96.13
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · No0.5501.000$4.71+$2.12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.6600.935$4.43+$1.30
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.6600.977$3.88+$1.26
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.8200.930$3.72+$0.44
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.254$3.55+$0.33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8320.982$3.44+$0.52
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3500.946$3.31+$2.08
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes0.5600.045$3.11$35.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-25 10:32Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$450.80
04-03 12:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.975$411.44
02-19 14:17Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.9$66.71
01-05 03:29Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.1$3.92
01-04 22:54Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.11$4.40
01-04 11:12Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.29$11.02
01-04 10:09Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.3$30.00
01-04 09:30Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.012$0.88
01-04 09:20Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?SELL0.012$0.73
01-04 09:182026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?SELL0.12$10.00
01-04 09:18Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.1$15.60
01-04 09:18Another Elon baby by June 30?SELL0.22$4.97
01-04 08:37Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.013$0.15
01-04 02:14Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.25$4.34
01-03 21:36Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.09$6.97