58647525
0xf3b6b33de913222fe3c3bc8e299d12ca06a06b22
- Realised P&L
- $-176.81
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $698.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.45at 0.418Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$144.57at 0.627Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
- +$141.92at 0.604Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
- +$107.62at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$87.89at 0.656Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 00:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999983 | $60.00 |
| 08-22 00:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $80.00 |
| 07-31 18:57 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.976 | $71.00 |
| 07-31 18:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 17:07 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899999936 | $25.00 |
| 07-11 00:40 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 00:28 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.844550053 | $130.00 |
| 06-30 20:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.5960138678 | $102.29 |
| 06-23 12:06 | Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.1529999873 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 12:01 | Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 12:00 | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY | 0.6936874441 | $50.00 |
| 06-23 11:59 | Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 11:59 | Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 01:53 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2099999955 | $29.56 |
| 06-15 01:52 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.2 | $31.00 |