58647525
0xf3b6b33de913222fe3c3bc8e299d12ca06a06b22
- Realised P&L
- $-140.40
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $623.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.45at 0.418Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$144.57at 0.627Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
- +$141.92at 0.604Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
- +$107.62at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$87.89at 0.656Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 00:31 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $12.00 |
| 10-16 00:30 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 00:29 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999997 | $150.00 |
| 10-14 22:25 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9029999982 | $46.00 |
| 10-14 22:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 10-14 22:23 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 10-14 22:22 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |
| 08-22 00:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999983 | $60.00 |
| 08-22 00:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $80.00 |
| 07-31 18:57 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.976 | $71.00 |
| 07-31 18:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 17:07 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899999936 | $25.00 |
| 07-11 00:40 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 00:28 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.844550053 | $130.00 |