Peremiriya
0xf3a5d5d032f3f62e214f1123ea24f98fbaf35f3c
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $1.67M
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.063Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$2.5kat 0.229Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.7kat 0.330Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$1.6kat 0.125 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.670Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:57 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.02 | $31.82 |
| 09-20 02:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.019 | $190.00 |
| 09-20 02:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.018 | $7.60 |
| 09-20 02:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.017 | $17.00 |
| 09-20 02:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.055999 | $280.00 |
| 09-15 20:47 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.016 | $11.61 |
| 09-15 20:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.01 | $25.11 |
| 09-15 20:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.99 |
| 09-15 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.015 | $5.54 |
| 09-15 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.03 | $229.45 |
| 09-15 14:23 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $110.31 |
| 09-11 01:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $96.92 |
| 09-11 01:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 01:42 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $264.00 |
| 09-11 01:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.013 | $9.91 |