PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Peremiriya

0xf3a5d5d032f3f62e214f1123ea24f98fbaf35f3c

Realised P&L
$7.8k
Volume
$1.67M
Markets traded
493
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded493
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.014$985.87−$32.46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.0330.018$277.50−$211.09
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? · Yes0.1590.545$196.30+$139.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.0880.011$115.49−$854.40
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes0.7510.650$91.00−$14.10
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? · No0.8050.815$81.50+$1.00
US recession by end of 2027? · No0.7720.655$52.40−$9.40
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0900.025$50.56−$127.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · Yes0.0600.003$48.55−$1.1k
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0350.018$37.00−$33.00
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes0.1470.302$21.18+$10.88
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0980.006$20.80−$291.36
Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? · Yes0.0900.098$4.88+$0.38
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? · Yes0.2790.225$4.50−$1.08
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0130.018$0.41+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 17:57Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.02$31.82
09-20 02:42Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.019$190.00
09-20 02:42Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.018$7.60
09-20 02:42Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.017$17.00
09-20 02:42Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.055999$280.00
09-15 20:47Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.016$11.61
09-15 20:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?BUY0.01$25.11
09-15 20:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?BUY0.009$10.99
09-15 14:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?BUY0.015$5.54
09-15 14:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17?BUY0.03$229.45
09-15 14:23Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?SELL0.81$110.31
09-11 01:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.08$96.92
09-11 01:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.1$1.10
09-11 01:42Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.88$264.00
09-11 01:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?BUY0.013$9.91
Trader Peremiriya · PolyBot Pro