aannggg
0xf39fd9eb2bf7f65291de1ec4e111fe8ae4c283bf
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $110.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $102.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.977 | $47.1k | +$2.2k |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No | 0.782 | 0.875 | $15.6k | +$1.6k |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No | 0.875 | 0.925 | $15.2k | +$821.57 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.984 | $7.7k | +$419.71 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.860 | $6.8k | +$158.41 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No | 0.830 | 0.870 | $5.2k | +$239.55 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.940 | $3.0k | +$17.96 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.759 | 0.715 | $2.0k | −$124.12 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.967 | $149.88 | +$2.63 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 14:58 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $561.25 |
| 09-03 14:57 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.6k |
| 09-03 14:57 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 09-03 14:48 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.9395852276 | $2.3k |
| 09-01 11:29 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.7427259945 | $1.5k |
| 09-01 11:28 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.92922906 | $823.84 |
| 09-01 11:27 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.3k |
| 09-01 11:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.7k |
| 08-29 22:37 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.8755876497 | $13.1k |
| 08-29 22:36 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $147.25 |
| 08-29 22:30 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299907618 | $42.2k |
| 08-29 22:29 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.3k |
| 08-29 22:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.2k |
| 08-29 22:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.3k |